The utility of 68F-FDG PET/CT for evaluation of tumor response to immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy and prognosis prediction in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer.

Abstract

To compare three fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) (EORTC criteria and PERCIST) and computed tomography (CT) (RECIST1.1) for response evaluation and prognosis prediction in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) monotherapy. Forty NSCLC patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT scans at baseline and after 4 to 8 cycles of nivolumab or pembrolizumab. Therapeutic response was evaluated according to EORTC criteria, PERCIST, and RECIST1.1,then concordance among those was assessed using Cohen's κ coefficient. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was examined using log-rank and Cox methods. The number of complete metabolic response (CMR)/partial metabolic response (PMR)/stable metabolic disease (SMD)/progressive metabolic disease (PMD) were 8/10/4/18 for EORTC criteria and 9/9/4/18 for PERCIST. Using RECIST1.1, those of CR/PR/SD/PD were 4/10/12/14. Although there was high concordance between PERCIST and EORTC (92.5% of patients; κ=0.924), that between PERCIST and RECIST1.1 was substantial (65.0%; κ=0.560) and that between EORTC and RECIST1.1 (65.0%; κ=0.574). After a median 23.2 months (range 7.2 to 51.8 months), 32 patients had documented progression and 24 patients died from NSCLC. According to both PET and CT, patients with no progression (CMR/PMR/SMD or CR/PR/SD) showed significantly longer PFS and OS than PMD or PD patients (EORTC: P<0.0001 and P<0.0001, respectively, PERCIST: P<0.0001 and P=0.0001, respectively, RECIST1.1: P<0.0001 and P<0.0001, respectively). In a univariate analysis total MTV (P=0.042) on pre-ICI treatment 18F-FDGPET/CT scans was significantly associated with progression. Highest SUVmax (P<0.0001), total MTV (P=0.0062), total TLG (P<0.0001), highest SULpeak (P<0.0001), and total TLGL (P<0.0001) on post-ICI treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT scans were also were significantly associated with progression. Moreover, the change rate of highest SUVmax (P<0.0001), total metabolic tumor volume (MTV) (P<0.0001), total lesion glycolysis(TLG) (P<0.0001), highest SULpeak (P<0.0001), total TLGL (P<0.0001), size (P=0.0012), EORTC (P<0.0001), PERCIST (P<0.0001), and RECIST 1.1 (P<0.0001) on two PET/CT scans were significantly associated with progression. A multivariate analysis confirmed the change rate of total MTV (P=0.034), and total TLGL (P=0.0027), EORTC (P=0.018), PERCIST (P=0.045), and RECIST1.1 (P=0.0037) as independent negative PFS predictors. Both 18F-FDG PET (EORTC criteria and PERCIST) and CT (RECIST1.1) after 4 to 8ICI monotherapy cycles are accurate for evaluation of tumor response and predicting prognosis in NSCLC patients.