Abstract

Sino-U.S. relations converge more closely in the Asia-Pacific region than elsewhere and this trend should continue. A disruption of re form in China or of the international economy could be particularly dangerous to the relationship. The strategic triangle is less central to both countries as they improve their ties with Moscow. The security environment could permit real negotiations on reducing threats and on confidence building measures to reduce the likelihood of new conflict. Regional co-operation in resolving the Korean conflict is central to this. Japan's economic pre-eminence in Asia and greater political influence will he increasingly important for Sino-U.S. rela tions. Rapid change in Taiwan-PRC relations and in Taiwan itself also represents a trench which could either enhance or complicate Sino U.S. relations. Overall, the relationship should continue to strengthen

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