The UK Public Finances: Past Experience and Future Prospects

Abstract

One of the more troubling aspects of economic performance in the UK since the recession has been the persistence of high levels of public sector borrowing. Borrowing reached a peak of 7.1 per cent of GDP in 1993–94 and has since fallen to 4.5 per cent in 1995–96, with a further fall to 3½ per cent in prospect for this year. Continued borrowing at high levels has raised public sector indebtedness. On the Maastricht treaty definition, general government debt has risen from 41.9 per cent of GDP in 1992 to an estimated 54.2 per cent of GDP in 1995 so that much of the leeway below the 60 per cent reference level has been used up. The overall net worth of the public sector has declined from 28 per cent of GDP to 14 per cent over the same period.