The Trends of the Energy Intensity and CO2 Emissions Related to Final Energy Consumption in Ecuador: Scenarios of National and Worldwide Strategies

Flavio R Arroyo M,Luis J Miguel

doi:10.3390/su12010020

Abstract

Climate change and global warming are related to the demand for energy, energy efficiency, and CO2 emissions. In this research, in order to project the trends in final energy demand, energy intensity, and CO2 emission production in Ecuador during a period between 2000 and 2030, a model has been developed based on the dynamics of the systems supported by Vensim simulation models. The energy matrix of Ecuador has changed in recent years, giving more importance to hydropower. It is conclusive that, if industrialized country policies or trends on the use of renewable energy and energy efficiency were applied, the production of CO2 emissions by 2030 in Ecuador would reach 42,191.4 KTCO2, a value well below the 75,182.6 KTCO2 that would be seen if the current conditions are maintained. In the same way, by 2030, energy intensity would be reduced to 54% compared to the beginning of the simulation period.

Highlights

The scientific evidence is overwhelming for the proposition that global warming is due in great measure to the increase in CO2 levels in the atmosphere, as is the fact that the increase in CO2 concentration is due to human activity [1,2,3,4]
Ecuador has maintained an energy combination based on fossil sources, where renewable enerEgycuasdoourrcheastmecahinnotaloingeidesanweenreergcyocnosmtrabiinneadtionbybapseodorondfeovsesillospomurecnets, wbuhterenorewnewhaavbele egnreeargteyr spoaurrtciceipteacthionnolwogitihesthweesrteacrot-nusptroafinlaerdgbeycappoaocritdyehvyeldorpomeleencttr,ibcuptlannotws. have greater participation with the stFarigt-uurpe o9f slahrogwescathpraeceityscheyndarroioesleocftrpicripmlaanryts.energy supply
Considering the hydroelectric potential of Ecuador, an energy combination is observed where hydropower and other renewable sources would have a greater participation, such as those that reduce the production of CO2 emissions

Summary

Introduction

The scientific evidence is overwhelming for the proposition that global warming is due in great measure to the increase in CO2 levels in the atmosphere, as is the fact that the increase in CO2 concentration is due to human activity [1,2,3,4]. Climate change is currently one of the most pervasive and threatening problems. The changes in temperature are already placing ecosystems under stress and are affecting human well-being [2]. Several studies have shown that air pollution associated with the production and use of energy directly affects air quality and climate [6,7,8,9,10,11,12]

Methods

Results

Conclusion