Abstract
This paper gives a transient analysis of blocking in Erlang's traffic model, the classic N-server model of a trunk group. Our results are asymptotic as N becomes large. We give expressions for E(t;N, -y) and R(t;N, -y), which are the blocking probabilities at time t where the system starts empty (for E) or full (for R), and N-y is the Poisson arrival rate. The results are based on the theory of large deviations and integral asymptotic expansions of Laplace transforms, and compare well with some exact (numerical) calculations.
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