The three-dimension intensity index for western Pacific subtropical high and its link to the anomaly of rain belt in eastern China

Abstract

Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is a deep circulation system located at middle-lower troposphere over the East Asia. The anomalies of its position and intensity determine the shift of climates in eastern China, especially the summer rainfall belt. However, previous definitions of WPSH intensity index were limited mainly by a single threshold of 5880-gpm geopotential height contour at 500-hPa, which cannot denote the rain pattern in eastern China reasonably, in particular the floods and droughts along the Yangtze River valley. In this paper, the link between the intensity of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the geopotential heights at each level were analyzed by correlation analyses. The results indicate that the significant negative correlations spread obviously from the upper to lower levels with longitude changed from west to east. At the upper levels over the Asian continent, the most significant negative correlation was found at the central region of the South Asia High (SAH). This implies that the EASM would be weaker if the SAH was stronger, and vice versa. Over the western Pacific warm pool, the most significant negative correlation was found in the middle-lower troposphere. The correlation coefficients at 500-hPa were much weaker than those at 700-hPa and 850-hPa, indicating that the EASM was easier influenced by the subtropical high at lower levels. Similar, the relationship between the WPSH and the precipitation along the Yangtze River valley was more significant at lower levels indicated by the correlation coefficient. In this study, the representativeness of the threshold of 5880 gpm at 500-hPa level over the western Pacific subtropical regions was analyzed at different grids and seasons, and the limitations of previous definitions were also discussed. Considering the three-dimension (3D) structures of the subtropical high, a new WPSH intensity index was defined by integrated the standardized geopotential heights from 500-hPa to 1000-hPa levels over the region (10°–30°N, 110°–150°E). Compared with the two traditional WPSH indices, the new 3D WPSH intensity index can better represent the subtropical summer monsoon and the precipitation along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Although all the three indices could reflect the primary correlation patterns between WPSH and the precipitation in eastern China, only the correlation coefficient between the 3D intensity index and precipitation is significant at the 95% confidence level to pass the student t -test. Compared to the other two indices, the 3D WPSH index can better reflect the anomalous of both meridional and zonal water vapor transportation between the tropical and subtropical regions of East Asia. During the transition seasons of boreal spring and autumn, the mechanisms of anomalous precipitation are more complicated, which are obviously different from EASM. Preliminary analysis shows that even in these two transition seasons, the 3D WPSH index defined in this paper also has better link with the precipitation anomalies in eastern China. As mentioned before, the WPSH is a deep circulation system over the western Pacific. Besides its intensity, the position also impacts on the climates over East Asia, especially its west boundary and meridional axis. In the future study, the definitions of other parameters of WPSH need to be studied from its 3D structure.