Abstract
This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on identifying stressed areas that begin to behave abnormally before strong events, with the size of these areas corresponding to Dobrovolsky formula. We make predictions by combining knowledge from many different disciplines: physics, geophysics, seismology, geology, and earth science, among others. An integrated approach is used to identify anomalies and make predictions, including satellite remote sensing techniques and data from ground-based instruments. Terabytes of information are currently processed every day with many different multi-parametric prediction systems applied thereto. Alerts are issued if anomalies are confirmed by a few different systems. It has been found that geophysical patterns of earthquake preparation and stress accumulation are similar for all key seismic regions. The same earthquake prediction methodologies and systems have been successfully applied in global practice since 2013, with the technology successfully used to retrospectively test against more than 700 strong and major earthquakes since 1970.
Highlights
Three Views on Earthquake PredictionHumans have tried to predict earthquakes since the days of ancient Greece
Applying global Big Data methodologies and analyzing more than 700 strong and major earthquakes from the past, we identified dozens of new types of precursors or anomalies that appeared before strong events
Our global earthquake prediction methodology is based on generally accepted assumptions—the discovering and revealing of the real geophysical processes that always occur prior to strong and major earthquakes
Summary
Three Views on Earthquake PredictionHumans have tried to predict earthquakes since the days of ancient Greece. Terra Seismic, which has been successfully making global earthquake predictions for many years, disagrees with this opinion [1]-[6] With regard to this matter, we can divide the scientists involved into three groups: The first—a large, rapidly growing number of people—believe that earthquake prediction is possible, and are developing various earthquake forecasting methods. Over the past decade we have seen a dramatic growth in the new, primarily satellite remote sensing methods that study earthquakes [21] [22] Among these methods are OLR, measurements of the earth’s surface temperature, changes in the ionosphere [23], GPS [24] [25] [26] and other approaches [27] [28]
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