Abstract
The current approaches to estimating the level of energy security are based on applying a comprehensive approach to selecting the factors that affect energy security and the dynamics of processes in this domain. This article reveals the application of the model of energy security estimation and strategizing based on the systemic description of energy security as an object of management: the integral system, elements and connections, functions, processes, and the system’s material. At the same time, this model is able to take into account the dynamics of technological, political, economic, and other factors operating in the country and on the global arena. The energy security estimation model developed uses a modern methodology of integrated estimation: a multiplicative form of the integrated index, a formalized definition of the safe existence limits in order to provide scientific substantiation of the threshold vector, a modified rationing method, the principal components method, and the sliding matrix method to substantiate dynamic weighting coefficients. The paper demonstrates the systemic approach application to shaping strategic goals in the energy security domain in the context of sustainable development; the trajectory of energy security development is calculated by the method of strategizing that applies the principle “future is determined by the trajectory to the future” instead of the classical forecasting “past determines the future”. In general, the article shows the possibility of unifying the process of formalizing energy security (according to the needs of the researcher: country, industry, energy network, supply chain) as an object of management, estimating energy security status, and strategizing the regulatory sphere transformation in accordance with the target values for monitoring the effectiveness of management.
Highlights
Estimating the level of the country’s energy security is a rather difficult task, which is due to the specificity of describing the energy security domain, public administration and corporate management models and patterns, approaches to formalization, and methods of estimating the state of energy security and threats.The complexity of the energy security description lies in the fact that describing this object requires consideration of various aspects of the country’s life
Jewell criticize the 4 A’s approach because it is outdated and was appropriate to describe the static world that existed before the era of globalization of energy markets and technologies [20,21]. In agreement with this position, this paper proposes a toolkit for describing energy security, which would reflect both the static and dynamic aspects of the operation of the object studied
This paper reveals the methods of integrating energy security into the structural and functional scheme of national security of Ukraine, which determines the place and role of energy security in ensuring fundamental national interests—sustainable development of the national economy, civil society, and the government in order to increase the level and quality of life of the population, as well as state sovereignty and independence, Ukraine’s integration into the European energy space, etc
Summary
Estimating the level of the country’s energy security is a rather difficult task, which is due to the specificity of describing the energy security domain, public administration and corporate management models and patterns, approaches to formalization, and methods of estimating the state (level) of energy security and threats.The complexity of the energy security description lies in the fact that describing this object requires consideration of various aspects of the country’s life. The vast majority of research estimating the state of energy security is carried out by using an integrated approach. Sets are grouped based on the criterion of similarity in the selected trait. In this way, there are most often groups of obtained indicators, such as economic, political, technological, environmental, social, managerial, etc. The problem of applying an integrated approach is a fairly arbitrary choice of groups of parameters that the researcher believes are important for analysis. The importance of these parameters is determined by the researcher in terms of their current knowledge and technological development, political preferences, and security situation
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