Abstract
Outlines the UK law on insovency and asks whether the financial ratios banks use to assess credit worthiness can discriminate between the companies placed in administrative receivership (AR) by their lending banks which can or cannot be rescued. Applies both linear discriminant analysis and logistic regression to samples of UK companies placed into AR in 1998, explains the methodology and shows broadly similar results from the two methods; and a predictive accuracy of 85‐90 per cent for the rescued companies and 55‐60 per cent for the failures. Analyses the key ratios for survival in more detail, looking at debtor turnover, the gearing ratio and the current ratio. Recogises the limitations of the study but sees it as a promising approach to predicting survivability.
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