The Surgical Apgar score combined with Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment improves short- but not long-term outcome prediction in older patients undergoing abdominal cancer surgery.

Abstract

Frailty increases the risk of poor surgical outcomes in the older population. Some measurable intraoperative factors may also influence the final outcome. The Surgical Apgar Score (SAS) is a simple system predicting postoperative mortality and morbidity. However, the usefulness of the SAS remains unknown in fit and frail older patients. We aimed to test this, as well as investigate whether SAS can increase the predictive value of frailty in this group of patients. Consecutive patients ≥70 years of age, needing elective abdominal surgery for cancer were enrolled in a prospective study. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment was used to determine frailty. Logistic regression was conducted investigating the association between the scores and 30-day postoperative outcomes and 1-year mortality. The study included 165 older patients with a median age of 77 (range 70-93) years. The prevalence of frailty was 38.2%. The most significant predictors of short-term morbidity and mortality were frailty [OR 6.2 (95%CI 2.9-13.4) and 14.9 (95%CI 5.9-38)] and the SAS [OR 12.5 (95%CI 2.8-45) and 29.5 (95%CI 6.3-125)]. At long-term follow-up frailty was the best predictor of mortality: OR 4.6 (95%CI 1.8-17.6). Frailty and the SAS, not age, were significant predictors of 30-day postoperative morbidity and mortality both in fit and frail older patients undergoing elective abdominal cancer surgery. At 1-yearfollow-up frailty, not the SAS, was an independent risk factor of mortality. The combination of frailty and the SAS increased predictive accuracy and may be a target of care.