The Study on Chinese Rural-urban Income Gap Forecast

Abstract

This paper simulates the income curve with SPSS statistics software on the basis of analyzing 1978-2012 Chinese urban and rural income data. The result indicates that the rural-urban income gap will expand further in the future and the rural-urban income ratio will reach 3.81:1 in 2020 according to the existing development trend. The study in this paper also indicates that there is a close correlation between the income source and income disparity. From the angle of income source this paper finds the main factors influencing the urban and rural income gap by the method of regression analysis and gives some pertinent suggestions to narrow the rural-urban income gap. INTRODUCTION The income disparity is one of the main standards to measure social justice. Rural-urban gap beyond normal limit not only affects consumption, but also affects the social structure coordinated development and the social stability. Therefore, we must take Chinese rural-urban gap seriously and make great efforts to narrow the income gap of the urban and rural residents step by step, realizes coordinated development of economic and social in city and countryside, and promotes Chinese sustainable development strategy to be carried on smoothly as planned [1] . DESCRIPTION OF CHINESE RURAL AND URBAN INCOME GAP 0.0 5000.