Abstract

There has been an increasing interest in analyzing the structure of domestic and global supply chains/networks in the past decade. Concerns about potential (systemic) risks resulting from overdependence on global supply networks have been magnified during the lockdowns triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in the last year. Strengthening local and/or domestic networks may be an adequate approach to overcome the severe economic implications of this overdependence, but it also rises the question of how one can measure the strength of domestic supply/production networks and design an appropriate structure. The objective of this paper is to propose a method for measurement and to provide a first-cut analysis with this method on a sample of economies. Building on ecological network analysis, we borrow the Finn cycling index from its toolbox and show a ranking of countries with respect to the strength of their domestic production networks based on this index. The results suggest that the countries are very heterogeneous both in terms of the level of cycling index and its sectoral decomposition. Using panel-econometric techniques, we point out the role of the openness and structural asymmetry in shaping this strength, also controlling for other macroeconomic characteristics of the economies. The estimates reveal that openness has a negative, while asymmetry has a positive effect on this index, but other country-specific characteristics also play a role in shaping the systemic operation of national economies as measured by the Finn cycling index.

Highlights

  • There has been a wide discussion about the overly fragile nature of global supply chains/networks

  • While the cycling index is a good candidate for our purposes, we show that the asymmetry of production network structure, economic openness and other macroeconomic characteristics of the economies shape the value of this index

  • We provide a description of the raw Finn cycling index (FCI) scores, and estimate the effects of asymmetry, openness and other macroeconomic variables in shaping these scores

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Summary

Introduction

There has been a wide discussion about the overly fragile nature of global supply chains/. While this highly optimized global system brings efficiency to production activities, it builds up systemic risk which can result in harsh disruptions in and fallback of economic activity. The economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic provide a recent and powerful example of this fragility, putting this discussion into the focus of attention. In order to avoid overwhelming their healthcare systems, many countries put constraints on economic activity by implementing sectoral and transportation lockdowns. Braun et al Appl Netw Sci (2021) 6:69 between countries restricted, and companies closed where workers were found infected. As a result of these arrangements, tourism collapsed rapidly, international shipping stalled, and access to the inputs became more difficult in the global market

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