Abstract
Poland’s convenient location on the border of the European Union (EU) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) predisposes it to be a transhipment hub for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Yet, some research indicates that the BRI is not bringing the anticipated results. This, in turn, suggests that more analysis is needed to identify under what conditions countries benefit more and less. The article identifies those factors that may be considered driving forces that determine the future development of the BRI in Poland. First, we indicate forty-two STEEPVL (social, technological, economic, environmental, political, values, legal) factors that seem crucial for the further implementation of the BRI concept. Then we develop and analyse four scenarios for possible development paths of the BRI, as well as unprecedented events. The results of our study show that socioeconomic factors influence the further implementation of the BRI in Poland the most, while the least important are environmental issues. It is also most likely to be strongly influenced by long-term EU-China trade relations, long-term economic Sino-Polish relations, and the number of intermodal transport terminals and regional logistic centres in Poland.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callMore From: Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
