Abstract

Throughout history California has been subjected to large catastrophic wildfires and the trend seems to be accelerating in recent years. We analysed and mapped the spatial–temporal patterns of predicted wildfire occurrence across California from 2000 until the end of the century. We identified areas that are extremely vulnerable to wildfires and analysed the threat to the wildland–urban interface and across California’s ecosystems. Mapping statewide projections of wildfire occurrence through space and time, and identifying different types of wildfire hot spots, is essential in identifying locations that will be increasingly threatened in the near and distant future. This newfound knowledge enhances our ability to conceptualise wildfire risk and make informed decisions.

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