The Sino-US Trade Conflicts Impact on Semiconductor Stock Index: Chinas Case

Abstract

On march 22, 2018, U.S. president trump signed a trade memorandum with China at the White House and restricted Chinese companies investment and acquisitions in the united states. The Sino-US trade war officially started. This trade war lasted for more than a year. China has imposed tariffs on each other six times, which has had a great impact on many fields. This paper background is at the point in time when the Sino-US trade war has just ended. The purpose and content of this paper is related impact of the China and US trade war on my countrys semiconductor industry. This article used to analyze the impact of the trade war through the previous data area, and this paper will use the previous data to predict the future semiconductor trend through the ARIMA model (with the Sino-US trade war as the node), and predict that the Sino-US trade war will have little impact on the daily, some impact on the weekly, and a great on the monthly. Based on our results, people can speculate that from a long-terms perspective, and choose to invest in the semiconductor industry.