Abstract
Specific to the demand for the actual operation, this paper calculates short-term failure rates of various types of elements by adopting improved conditions dependent model: temperature-dependent element aging failure model, weather-dependent occasional failure model, current-dependent overload protection model, and processes a short-term reliability assessment by forward failure diffusion algorithm. Example analysis is simulated by 11kV distribution network of IEEE RBTS Bus-2 system to prove the reliability assessment model, the reliability assessment process are effective and provide on-site operation and maintenance personnel with guidance for decision making in the short-term scheduling and online operation.
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