The short-term and long-term prognostic risk stratification of patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Abstract

23 Background: Some studies suggest anastomotic leakage (AL) may adversely affect long-term survival in patients undergoing radical gastrectomy (RG) for gastric cancer (GC). Therefore, we assume that common risk evaluation system for short-term and long-term prognosis can be devised in patients with GC that have undergone RG. Methods: Five hundred and twenty patients undergone RG against GC during May 2012 to March 2017 were enrolled. Patients’ characteristics, preoperative laboratory data, operative information and pathological factors were analyzed. Also AL with Clavien-Dindo classification Grade≥III (AL≥III), disease free survival (DFS) and disease specific survival (DSS) were examined. Results: By bringing patients under classification of “with or without relapse” and “with or without AL≥III”, we identified preoperative body weight (BW), serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin (Alb) level were independent risk factors of both relapse and AL≥III. Stratifying patients with recurrence, we obtained crude hazard ratio (HR) of 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02-1.06) for 1kg-increase of BW, 1.51 (95% CI: 1.08-1.40) for 1mg/dl-increase of CRP and 1.23 (95% CI: 1.34-1.64) for 1g/dl-decrease of Alb. With these HR and median value of each parameters of none-relapse group, we defined ABC score (ABCs) is calculated by following formula; ABCs = (4.1-Alb)*51+(58.5-BW)*4+(CRP-0.05)*23. AL≥III were observed in 3.1% of the cases and ABCs of patients with AL≥III was significantly low (with AL≥III; -22.4, without AL≥III; 9.03, p = 0.045). We determine a cut off value of ABCs to -7 on the basis of the ROC curve. Patients with ABCs≤-7 had significantly high risk of AL≥III and we found ABCs≤-7 is an independent risk factor of AL≥III (HR 1.775, p = 0.003). Also, we stratified patients as Low group (L), Mid group (M), High group (H), by approximate tertile value of ABCs, -20 and 30. We found significant shortening of DFS and DSS in order of L, M and H (DFS; L vs M p = 0.006, Mid vs High p = 0.03, DSS; L vs M p = 0.002, L vs H p < 0.001). Moreover, HR for disease specific death for ABCs≥-20 was 4.2 (p = 0.003) in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: ABCs can be a risk evaluation system for short-term and long-term prognosis in patients with GC that have undergone RG.