Abstract
Changes in the fossil assemblage of offshore molluscs within each sixth-order (41-kyr) depositional sequence of the early Pleistocene Omma Formation document repeated recolonizations of warm-water species into the Sea of Japan. Each recolonization started as soon as the warm Tsushima Current began to flow in the Sea of Japan during a deglaciation and subsequent interglacial period. Here we examined in detail the stratigraphic distribution of six selected significant warm-water species and calculated confidence intervals for their first (local) appearances in a total of 10 deglaciations using continuously sampled data. They were subdivided into two groups, based on the chronological order of their first appearance during warming phases. Comparison of geological with biogeographic data reveals that these migration patterns are not always consistent with the modern geographic distributions of the species. These results show that fossil records may anticipate how the assemblage of local species would change in response to climate warming.
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