The Sensitifity and Elastisity Model Approch to The Probality of Wooden Boat Route Selection in Archipelago Area

Bustamin S Marsaoly,Abdul Gaus,Nurmaiyasa Marsaoly

doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202132810004

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of travel costs Wooden Boat, travel time, delay time and service frequency on the selection of wooden ship routes using the stated preference method. Two variables, dependent and independent variables were analyzed using linear regression analysis, correlation and sensitivity model. From the results of the sensitivity analysis, the travel cost of attribute variable is the most sensitive to the probability of route selection is travel time. The changes of travel time will changes the probability of choosing a route which relatively largerer than changes the other attributes. For the elasticity analysis of the model for each attribute resulted the probability of choosing route 2 is more sensitive than route 1. This is indicated by the cross elasticity value which is greater than the direct elasticity value. The direct elasticity values for the attributes of cost, travel time, delay time, and service level are -0.5248, - 0.1667, -0.0845, and 0.1182 respectively. Meanwhile, the cross-elasticity values for the attributes of cost, travel time, delay time, and service level are -0.6477, -0.3979, -0.2016, and 0.2821

Highlights

Indonesia is located between two oceans, namely the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean
Indonesia is an archipelagic country that has more than 17,000 islands with a coastline of more than 99,000 km, making Indonesia the country with the second-longest coastline in the world after Canada
From the results of the sensitivity analysis, it can be seen that the attribute which is the most sensitive to the probability of route selection is travel time

Summary

Introduction

Indonesia is located between two oceans, namely the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean. Indonesia connects two continents, namely Asia and Australia. Indonesia is an archipelagic country that has more than 17,000 islands with a coastline of more than 99,000 km, making Indonesia the country with the second-longest coastline in the world after Canada. Indonesia has a very wide sea area, in which 2/3 of the country’s territory is the sea. Most of Indonesia’s territory is in the form of sea, making Indonesia one of the countries that have great potential. In Indonesia, one of the complex problems faced is transportation [1]

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