The Seesaw of Seasonal Precipitation Variability Between North China and the Southwest United States: A Response to Arctic Amplification

Abstract

AbstractSurface albedo over the ice‐covered polar ocean is decreased in a highly idealized numerical experiment, which leads to stronger (weaker) warming at high (low) latitudes, and forms Arctic amplification. With stronger warming at both high and low latitudes, the meridional temperature gradient decreases (increases) at midlatitudes (subtropical regions). A cyclonic wind anomaly appears and results in a weak Kuroshio current and warm interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase. In response to Arctic‐amplified‐warming, the subtropical high weakens, leading to summer monsoon anomaly on its southside and increased westward transport of water vapor, resulting in a seesaw pattern: dry (wet) conditions in summer in North China (southwest United States, SWUS). In winter, the East Asian trough (North American high) decreases and induces decreased (increased) cold air transport to North China (SWUS) in response to Arctic‐amplified‐warming, which makes rain unlikely (likely) and exhibits a seesaw pattern. Moisture convergence always appears in a warmer SWUS winter, and increases precipitation there, which strengthens (counteracts) the precipitation anomaly led by the North American high in a warm (cold) interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase. It may even shut down the seesaw pattern in winter in the cold interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase.