Abstract
The price of crude oil soared after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, China's stock market, by contrast, continues to fall. This paper studies the impact of crude oil price on the dynamic of China’s stock market. We build an ARMAX model and an ARMA-GARCH model to analyze whether there are connections between crude oil price and China’s stock market. This paper finds that the crude oil futures rate of return is positively correlated with the Shenzhen Component index rate of return and Shanghai Component index rate of return. Also, the crude oil price has a significant impact on the fluctuation of the Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock Exchanges.
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