The Russian Invasion of Ukraine: A Blessing in Disguise for Poland?

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has had profound and far-reaching consequences for Poland. Like the rest of Europe, Poland has had to face the energy crisis, a burden eased to a degree by the country’s decade-long gradual effort to decrease dependency on Russian fossil fuel imports. The war, however, brought with it an unforeseen opportunity for Poland. Poland’s swift and robust response and its positioning as a humanitarian and military hub enhanced its international standing, turning it into a significant player in the newly emerged European order. By actively supporting Ukraine, Poland emerged as a vital NATO ally and a regional power, transforming its geopolitical position. However, as the war continues, the tensions with the European Union in relation to Poland’s climate and domestic policies, which were seemingly forgotten for a time in light of the country’s strong support for Ukraine, are rising again. In this, Poland’s ability to capitalise on its newfound role as a regional leader will most likely be tested further in the post-conflict era.