Abstract

The VASOGRADE is a simple aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) grading scale that combines the modified Fisher scale (mFisher) and the World Federation of Neurological Societies (WFNS) grading system, allowing the stratification of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) risk. However, the VASOGRADE accuracy in predicting functional outcomes is still to be determined. We retrospectively evaluated a multiethnic cohort of consecutive patients with aSAH admitted to a high-volume center in Brazil from January 2016 to January 2019. Patients were classified according to the severity of the clinical presentation (WFNS), the amount of blood in the initial head computerized tomography (mFisher) scan, and the VASOGRADE (green, yellow, red). The primary outcome was to detect DCI-related cerebral infarction, and the secondary outcome was the functional outcome at hospital discharge according to the modified Rankin scale (mRs). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were employed. A total of 212 patients (71.7% female, mean age 52.7 ± 12.8) were included. Sixty-nine patients were classified as VASOGRADE-Green (32.5%), 98 patients as VASOGRADE-Yellow (46.9%), and 45 patients as VASOGRADE-Red (20.6%). DCI-related infarction was present in 39 patients (18.9%). The proportions of patients in the VASOGRADE-Green, VASOGRADE-Yellow, and VASOGRADE-Red categories with DCI-related infarction were 7.7, 61.5, and 30.8%, respectively. After a multivariable analysis including age, sex, aneurysm location, and the VASOGRADE classification as variables, both VASOGRADE-Yellow and VASOGRADE-Red were independently associated with DCI-related infarction (odds ratio [OR] 7.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.13-27.8, and OR 8.07, 95% CI 2.03-32.11, respectively) and unfavorable outcome (OR 4.16, 95% CI 1.33-13.03, and OR 25.57, 95% CI 4.45-147.1, respectively). The VASOGRADE discrimination performance for DCI-related infarction (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) was 0.67 ± 0.04 (95% CI 0.58-0.75; p = 0.001). VASOGRADE-Red had 97.5% specificity for predicting an unfavorable mRs score at discharge (95% CI 92.8-99.5%). Conversely, VASOGRADE-Green had an excellent specificity for predicting favorable outcome at discharge (mRs score 0-2, 95% CI 82.6-95.5%). In conclusion, in a multiethnic cohort of patients with aSAH, VASOGRADE-Green predicted the absence of DCI and good clinical outcome at discharge with very high specificity, and patients in this category might be selected for early intensive care unit (ICU) discharge, minimizing costs and medical complications associated with prolonged hospital stay. On the other hand, patients categorized as VASOGRADE-Yellow and VASOGRADE-Red were at the highest risk for DCI. They should, therefore, be selected as a priority for care in high-volume aSAH centers, being aggressively monitored for DCI at the ICU. Such stratification methods are crucial, especially in countries with low financial resources and high health care services demand.

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