Abstract

Understanding tree recruitment is needed to forecast future forest distribution. Many studies have reported the relevant ecological factors that affect recruitment success in trees, but the potential for genetic-based differences in recruitment has often been neglected. In this study, we established a semi-natural reciprocal sowing experiment to test for local adaptation and microenvironment effects (evaluated here by canopy cover) in the emergence and early survival of maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Aiton), an emblematic Mediterranean forest tree. A novel application of molecular markers was also developed to test for family selection and, thus, for potential genetic change over generations. Overall, we did not find evidence to support local adaptation at the recruitment stage in our semi-natural experiment. Moreover, only weak family selection (if any) was found, suggesting that in stressful environments with low survival, stochastic processes and among-year climate variability may drive recruitment. Nevertheless, our study revealed that, at early stages of recruitment, microenvironments may favor the population with the best adapted life strategy, irrespectively of its (local or non-local) origin. We also found that emergence time is a key factor for seedling survival in stressful Mediterranean environments. Our study highlights the complexity of the factors influencing the early stages of establishment of maritime pine and provides insights into possible management actions aimed at environmental change impact mitigation. In particular, we found that the high stochasticity of the recruitment process in stressful environments and the differences in population-specific adaptive strategies may difficult assisted migration schemes.

Highlights

  • Sustained tree recruitment is fundamental to ensure forest persistence under global climate change [1,2]

  • Study sites and experimental design Our reciprocal sowing experiment was conducted in two Mediterranean maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Aiton) sites separated by a distance of 535 km (Figure 1)

  • Using a semi-natural reciprocal sowing experiment and discrete-time logistic models, we found that Calderona origin outperformed Coca origin in both emergence and survival, regardless of the study site

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Summary

Introduction

Sustained tree recruitment is fundamental to ensure forest persistence under global climate change [1,2]. Understanding tree recruitment processes and potential biotic and abiotic interactions can help to realistically forecast the distribution of future forests. In Mediterranean environments, summer drought and the shortness of favorable periods (i.e. when temperature and water availability are suitable for plant growth) are main abiotic factors constraining tree establishment [1,8,9]. It is well-known that Mediterranean tree populations and families have large genetic differences in drought response and growth [10,11,12,13]. Genetic factors are rarely considered in Mediterranean tree recruitment studies

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