Abstract
A study of the role of New Source Review (NSR) Policy in the San Francisco Air Quality Maintenance Plan, which was prepared by the Association of Bay Area Governments, the San Francisco Bay Area Air Pollution Control District, and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, showed that steady air quality improvement is compatible with industrial growth. The rubber and miscellaneous plastic product industries are among those which are not expected to be affected by NSR policies; however, these policies are expected to reduce employment in the chemicals and allied products industries by 10.0% and in the transportation industry by 12.3%. In the five years that NRS policy has been in place in the Bay Area, industry has expanded. No net increase in emissions from major new or modified sources can be permitted, but such industrial sources can operate provided that the appropriate emission offsets are found from other sources. Until much more experience is gained with the emission offsets concept, it is impossible to accurately assess what the real cost and benefits will be from continued NSR in the Bay Area.
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