The Role of Monetary Policy Tools on Stability of Iraqi Economy: A Macroeconomic Analysis (2004-2018)

Abstract

Monetary coordination and macroeconomic stability are increasingly critical for domestic and fiscal policy in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. This research investigates the impact of monetary policy on financial and economic stability following the COVID-19 pandemic's economic lockdown. This article utilized a V.A.R. (Vector Autoregressive Models) estimator for time series data models. Quarterly statistics are gathered from the first quarter of 2004 to the first quarter of 2018. Using a V.A.R. model, the study investigates the causal connections between monetary policy instruments and economic stability. The findings suggest that Iraq's monetary policy is most efficient at maintaining a target growth rate for the money supply while simultaneously controlling inflation through an equalization cap (1.8 percent). Due to the rentier structure of the Iraqi economy, the money supply had a negligible influence. Monetary authorities must monetize oil earnings in order to finance public spending. Finally, an appropriate framework for monetary management must be created that ensures monetary independence and supremacy remain unimpaired. The findings give a thorough knowledge of the links between national monetary policies and economic stability, which can eventually aid in developing nations' formulation of good monetary and fiscal policies.