The road from ICPD to SDGs: Health returns of reducing the unmet need for family planning in India

Abstract

ObjectiveThis study attempts to estimate the impact of reducing the unmet need for family planning on the key maternal and child health indicators in India from 1993 to 2016, and projecting this for the period from 2016 to 2030. Data and methodsThe data have been compiled from various sources such as the United Nations’ World Population prospects, national family health surveys and the sample registration system. The family planning and demographic projection modules of ‘Spectrum’, a modular computer simulation program, were used to estimate the impact of family planning programmes on reproductive, maternal and child health outcomes in India from 1993 to 2030. ResultsReduction of the unmet need for family planning averted approximately 56 million unintended pregnancies, 7 million unsafe abortions and 167,000 maternal deaths between 1993 and 2016. It is expected that an additional 41 million unintended pregnancies, 5 million unsafe abortions and 124,000 maternal deaths can be avoided by reducing the unmet need for family planning to 5% by 2030. Similarly, the declining unmet need for family planning between 1993 and 2016 led to a reduction in the pregnancy rate, abortion rate, and risk-adjusted infant and under-five mortality rates by 27 per 1000 married women, 1.8 per million married women, 10 per 1000 live births and 15 per 1000 live births, respectively. It is expected that approximately 24 pregnancies per 1000 married women, 1.6 abortions per million married women, 10 risk adjusted infant deaths per 1000 live births, and 14 under-five deaths per 1000 live births can be avoided by reducing the unmet need for family planning to 5% by 2030. ConclusionsThe findings of this study advocate that family planning is one of the best return on-investment strategies for India to achieve several targets under the reproductive, maternal and child health-related sustainable development goals.