Abstract
This paper shows how risk aversion and economic uncertainty affect the expected market risk premium. Under a habit preference macro-finance model with time-varying risk aversion, we show a significant amplifying effect of risk aversion on the expected market risk premium over and above economic uncertainty shocks. Although our full sample period is from January 1961 to March 2020, the results are robust to different sample periods and alternative estimation procedures, including the lower bound expected market risk premium based on option prices.
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