Abstract
In recent years, the scale of wind power development is increasing in southwest. The space of power accommodated capacity has become an important factor in the development of wind power. Combining with the characteristics of the electricity market development in southwest, this paper uses the power balance to research the wind power admitting ability. By comparison, a forecasting method which is based on the gray method to forecast the minimum value of main net power is put forward. According to the characteristics of the supply and power balance in the region, the wind power admitting capacity is forecasted. Finally, after the actual simulation, compared with conventional forecasting the method is proved to have high precision and more accurate to predict the local wind power accommodated capacity.
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