Abstract

How reliable is the ultimate height prediction (UHP) for tall girls? 78 Girls who were pre-menarcheal (pre-m) and 54 who were post-menarcheal(post-m) when initially measured during childhood, had their adult heights measured. All girls were then aged more than 17 years. They had all chosen not to receive treatment on the basis of the UHP. Height was measured according to the same standardised techniques using Harpenden stadiometers. X-rays of the left hand were assessed according to Greulich-Pyle (G-P) and Tanner-Whitehouse TWII RUS (RUS). For the UHP the Bailey-Pinneau (B-P) and the Tanner-Whitehouse method for tall girls (TW) were used.B-P overpredicted more than 5.08 cm (2″) for 4 pre-m and 2 post-m girls, TW for 2 pre-m girls. B-P underpredicted more than 5.08 cm for 6 pre-m girls, TW for 11 pre-m and 1 post-m girl. The adult height for tall Dutch girls as a group can be predicted using methods developed more than 30 years ago for the USA and UK populations.

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