The relationship between inflation and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Vietnam in 1996-2023

Abstract

Together with the impact of the post-COVID-19 pandemic, the world economy has had many fluctuations, especially the global economic crisis, which has reduced economic growth and caused inflation to rise in many countries. However, the goal of high and sustainable economic growth along with low inflation is often the main goal of each country's macroeconomic policy. So, this study aims to determine the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Vietnam, in the period 1996-2023, to determine the inflation threshold and make effective recommendations. The regression will use the least squares method (OLS) with the Newey-West standard error. This study shows that inflation supports growth in the short term and harms growth in the long term, at a light level, but does not find a converse impact, which is economic growth affecting inflation. The relationship between economic growth and inflation is a long-term relationship. Simultaneously, the study also agrees that effective control of inflation is essential for economic growth in Vietnam by proposing some solutions.