The recent deglaciation of Kolahoi valley in Kashmir Himalaya, India in response to the changing climate

Abstract

In the present study, the retreat of Kolahoi glacier was mapped from the satellite observations and historical maps supplemented by the extensive field observations to understand the recent deglaciation of the Kolahoi valley, Kashmir Himalaya, India. The glacier has retreated by 2.85km during the last 157years from 1857 to 2014 with an average retreat of about 18.2myear−1; however, the glacier snout has shown higher recession during the last decade. The geomorphological evidence reveals glaciation of the Kolahoi valley during the Quaternary. These evidences include glacial till at Pahalgam and Aru besides terminal and lateral moraines at Lidderwat, Satlanjan and Kolahoi Gunj in the Kolahoi valley. The glacier has shrunk by 2.81km2 during the last 51years (1962–2013) losing an ice volume of 0.30km3. The observed glacier changes were correlated with the climate data from PMIP3-CMIP5 models. The temperatures are predicted to increase almost ten times more than that observed during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). The future temperature is predicted to rise between 0.18°C and 0.61°C per decade under RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 respectively. The projected rise in the temperature, if realized, will have an adverse effect on the glaciers and would, in all likelihood, adversely affect the water availability for various sectors in the region.