THE REALITY OF DATE PRODUCTION IN ALGERIA AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH NATIONAL INCOME: AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY USING THE AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL) MODEL DURING THE PERIOD 2000-2019

Abstract

Objective: The objective of this study is to investigate the evolution of date production in Algeria and its impact on the country's national income (GDP) from 2000 to 2019. This research aims to analyze the short-term and long-term relationships between date production and national income, assessing the significance of agricultural policies in enhancing the productivity and economic contribution of the date sector. Ultimately, the study seeks to highlight the role of date production in diversifying Algeria's exports and contributing to sustainable economic growth. Theoretical Framework: This study explores the relationship between date production and national income in Algeria, using agricultural productivity theory, endogenous growth theory, export diversification theory, and the ARDL model. It aims to understand the impact of agricultural policies, human capital investment, and export diversification on Algeria's date production, highlighting the potential for economic diversification. Method: This study analyzes the relationship between date production and Algeria's GDP from 2000 to 2019, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Data sources include Algeria's GDP and date production data. The study uses unit root tests, bounds testing, and error correction models to estimate the relationship. Statistical software like EViews or R is used for analysis. Results and Discussion: The study reveals a positive relationship between date production and national income in Algeria from 2000 to 2019. The data suggests that agricultural policies have led to an upward trajectory in date production, while GDP has grown significantly. The study also highlights the importance of date production in Algeria's economy, particularly in diversifying exports. The long-term relationship suggests sustained investment in date production will yield continued benefits for national income. Research Implications: The study highlights the importance of supporting agricultural policies that enhance productivity in Algeria's date sector. It suggests broader export diversification strategies, infrastructure development, and economic development. Strengthening date production can create job opportunities, stimulate rural development, and contribute to food security. Future research should explore other agricultural products, climate change, and technological innovations to improve yields and sustainability in the sector. Originality/Value: The study explores Algeria's date production and national income relationship, providing insights for policymakers to diversify the economy beyond hydrocarbons and foster sustainable growth.