Abstract

During the 1990s, a group of virologists and physicists began development of a quantitative theory to explain the rapid evolution of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). This theory also proved to be instrumental in understanding the rapid emergence of drug resistance in patients. Over the past two decades, this theory expanded to account for a broad array of factors important to viral evolution and propelled development of a generalized theory applicable to a broad range of asexual and partly sexual populations with many evolving sites. Here, we discuss the conceptual and theoretical tools developed to calculate the speed and other parameters of evolution, with a particular focus on the concept of ‘clonal interference’ and its applications to untreated patients.

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