Abstract
The public health role of a medical examiner office (MEO) in a pandemic is largely undefined; however, death data may be useful in strategic planning. Deaths reportable to MEO are defined in statute, with discretion as to the assumption of jurisdiction. We analyzed the daily reported death numbers (DRDNs) in our jurisdiction from March 1, 2020, to March 31, 2021, and compared them with hospital admission and COVID-19 fatality data over the same period. The DRDN from an MEO is easily obtained and may be useful as a supplemental and surrogate metric in certain pandemic mass casualty decisions. Hospital admission data were analyzed in real time and with a 2-week time-shift, as deaths lag hospital admissions as a disease surveillance metric. Moderate correlation was observed between DRDN and hospital admissions (r = 0.570), and this improved to strong correlation (0.645) when the 2-week time-shift was incorporated into the analysis. Both evaluations were statistically significant (P < 0.0001). The DRDN also moderately correlated (r = 0.412) with the number of COVID-19 deaths. Because death certification and hospital diagnosis may be delayed, real-time trend recognition in a pandemic may benefit from use of DRDN from MEO.
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