The prognostic value of various carotid ultrasound parameters in patients at high and very high cardiovascular risk

Abstract

BackgroundAccording to the current guidelines the visualization of atherosclerotic plaques in the carotid arteries is the only option that carotid ultrasound provides for the assessment of cardiovascular risk (CVR). The direction devoted to the development and implementation of markers based on the quantification of atheroma, is promising. The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic value of various carotid ultrasound parameters in patients at high and very high CVR. MethodsPatients at high and very high CVR were included. All patients underwent carotid ultrasound. We evaluated carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), carotid plaque, carotid plaque score (cPS) and carotid total plaque area (cTPA). The combined endpoint was cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or unstable angina, non-fatal stroke and coronary revascularization. ResultsThe study included 100 patients. The duration of the follow-up period was 24.4 (14.1–34.3) months. Endpoint events occurred in 34.0% patients. cIMT and cPS were not significantly associated with the risk of cardiovascular events. The presence of carotid plaque in accordance with Cox regression after adjusting for possible confounders was associated with an increase in the relative risk of cardiovascular events by 10.5 times (95% CI 1.27–86.5; p = 0.008). CTPA ≥69 mm2 according to adjusted analysis was associated with an increase in the risk of cardiovascular events by 5.86 times (95% CI 2.09–16.4; p = 0.001). ConclusionIn patients at high and very high CVR among carotid atherosclerosis markers only carotid plaque and cTPA had an independent predictive value regarding the development of adverse cardiovascular events.