The Prognostic Value of the Charlson's Comorbidity Index in Patients with Prolonged Acute Mechanical Ventilation: A Single Center Experience.

Abstract

BackgroundThe aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of Charlson's weighted index of comorbidities (WIC) in patients with prolonged acute mechanical ventilation (PAMV, ventilator care ≥96 hours).MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled 299 Korean PAMV patients who were admitted in a medical intensive care unit (ICU) of a university-affiliated tertiary care hospital between 2008 and 2013. Survivors were defined as patients who survived for 60 days after ICU admission.ResultsThe patients' mean age was 65.1±14.1 years and 70.6% were male. The mean ICU and hospital length of stay was 21.9±19.7 and 39.4±39.1 days, respectively. In addition, the 60-day mortality rate after ICU admission was 35.5%. The mean WIC was 2.3±1.8, with significant differences between nonsurvivors and survivors (2.7±2.1 vs. 2.1±1.7, p<0.05). The area under the curve of receiver-operating-characteristics curve for WIC was 0.593 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.523–0.661; p<0.05). Based on Kaplan-Meier curves of 60-day survival, WIC ≥5 had statistically lower survival than WIC <5 (log-rank test, p<0.05). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, WIC ≥5 was associated with poor prognosis (hazard ratio, 1.901; 95% CI, 1.140–3.171; p<0.05). The mortality rate of patients with WIC ≥5 was 54.2%.ConclusionOur study showed a WIC score ≥5 might be helpful in predicting 60-day mortality in PAMV patients.