The prognostic value of preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory biomarkers for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection

Abstract

Objective: To explore the value of preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after radical resection. Methods: A total of 124 patients who underwent radical resection for ICC in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2010 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was conducted to determine the best cut-off values of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune inflammatory index (SII), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI). Univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. Based on the independent prognostic factors screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram model of overall survival prediction for ICC patients after radical resection was established. Results: Among the 124 patients, 87 patients died and 37 patients survived during the follow-up period. The median overall survival time of the whole patients was 21 months. ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve (AUC) of NLR, PLR, LMR, SII and SIRI for predicting the overall survival of ICC patients after radical resection were 57.86%, 64.21%, 60.61%, 67.57% and 66.03%, respectively. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that the inflammatory biomarkers of NLR, PLR, SII, and SIRI were associated with overall survival of ICC after radical resection (HR=1.787, 95%CI: 1.165-2.741; HR=1.181, 95% CI: 1.224-2.892; HR=2.412, 95% CI: 1.565-3.717; HR=1.648, 95% CI: 1.081-2.513). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the inflammatory biomarker of SII was an independent prognostic factor of ICC after radical resection (HR=1.863, 95% CI: 1.161-2.989). According to the best cut-off value of SII to predict the overall survival of ICC patients after radical resection (709.86×10(9)/L), the patients were divided into low SII group (SII≤709.86×10(9)/L) and high SII group (SII>709.86×10(9)/L). In the high SII group, the proportions of NLR>3.31, PLR>3.31, SIRI>1.30×10(9)/L, carbohydrate antigen 19-9>39.0 U/ml, Child-Pugh liver function (grade B), hemi-hepatic/extended hepatectomy, combined perineural invasion, N1 stage and TNM stage (ⅢB) were higher than those in the low SII group (P<0.05). Based on the independent prognostic factors screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram model of overall survival prediction for ICC after radical resection was established, the C-index values of the training set and testing set were 0.774 and 0.737, respectively. Conclusions: Preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory marker SII is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients after radical resection. The nomogram model of overall survival prediction established that included SII has a good predictive ability and can be used to evaluate the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients after radical resection.