The prognostic value of HEART score in patients with known heart failure evaluated at the emergency department for acute chest pain

Abstract

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (United States). Background Chest pain is a common and concerning symptom in emergency care, often necessities further risk stratification for adverse cardiovascular events on short-term follow up. Patients with known heart failure (HF) constitutes a unique sub-population that would greatly benefit from short-term risk stratification to guide appropriate clinical interventions and optimize resource allocation. HEART (History, ECG, Age, Risk factors, Troponin) is a well-validated risk score that has been shown to outperform other clinical risk scores in patients with chest pain. It remains unknown if HEART score can be safely used in patients with known HF presenting to the emergency department with chest pain. Purpose We sought to evaluate the prognostic value of HEART score in patients with known HF compared to their counterparts. Method This was a prospective observational cohort study of consecutive adult patients evaluated at the emergency department for non-traumatic chest pain. HEART score was computed from charts by independent physician reviewers. The primary study outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE) defined as acute coronary syndrome, invasive revascularization, reinfarction, death, cardiac arrest, ventricular tachyarrhythmia, or acute exacerbation within 30 days of indexed admission. Outcomes were adjudicated by two independent reviewers (Kappa = 0.908). Classification performance between groups was compared using area under receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and negative predictive value (NPV). Results Our cohort included 4,132 patients (age 59±16, 47% female, 33% Black). Overall, 921 patients (22.3%) experienced 30-day MACE. The classification performance of HEART score in those without HF (n = 3,329, 81%) was AUROC of 0.831 (95% CI 0.813-0.848), compared to only 0.633 (95% CI 0.592-0.673) in those with known HF (n = 803, 19%) (z score = 8.771, p < 0.001, Figure). The sensitivity and NPV of HEART score among those without HF were 87.4% and 95.3%, compared to 81.2% and 73.3%, respectively, among those with known HF. Conclusion Our findings suggest that the prognostic value of HEART score for predicting 30-day MACE is inferior and suboptimal in patients with known HF evaluated for chest pain at the emergency department compared to their counterparts. These findings emphasize the need for more tailored risk assessment and management strategies in this specific patient population. Further research is warranted to better understand the limitations and potential enhancements of the HEART score in patients with HF.Classification Performance of HEART score