The Predictive Value of Hemoglobin to Red Cell Blood Distribution Width Ratio Combined with Serum Sodium for MACE of Acute Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction in Elderly Patients.

Abstract

To investigate the predictive value of hemoglobin (Hb) to red blood cell distribution width (RDW) (Hb/RDW) ratio in combination with serum sodium for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction at 30 days after discharge. 130 elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction were enrolled and followed up at 30 days after discharge. They were classified into the MACE group (n=11) and none-MACE group (n=119). On the day of admission, clinical baseline characteristics were measured and results from laboratory tests were gathered. The correlation and predictive value of Hb/RDW and serum sodium with the occurrence of MACE at 30 days after discharge in acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction in the elderly were analyzed. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the occurrence of MACE was negatively correlated with Hb/RDW, serum sodium (r=-0.209, r=0.291, p<0.05) and Hb/RDW (OR=0.484, 95% CI:0.254, 0.922), serum sodium (OR=0.779, 95% CI:0.646,0.939) were independent risk factors (p<0.05) analyzed by multifactorial logistic. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction of MACE by Hb/RDW was 0.73, with an optimal threshold of 9.28, sensitivity 81.80%, specificity 70.60%, positive predictive value (PPV) 20.50%, negative predictive value (NPV) 97.70%; the AUC of serum sodium for predicting the occurrence of MACE was 0.76, with an optimal threshold of 140.35 mmol/L, sensitivity 90.90%, specificity 57.10%, PPV 16.40%, NPV 98.60%; and the AUC of Hb/RDW combined serum sodium to predict the occurrence of MACE was 0.83, with sensitivity 90.90%, specificity 78.20%, PPV 27.80% and NPV 98.90%. Hb/RDW and serum sodium had negative correlation with MACE and were independent risk factors of 30-day MACE; Hb/RDW combined with serum sodium can predict 30-day MACE occurrence in elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction.