Abstract
The emissions of greenhouse gasses in Egypt are about 0.58% of the total emissions of the world in the year 2015, although Egypt is one of the countries most affected by the impacts of climate change. By assessment and analysis of the expected economic impacts of climate change by the year 2030, the Egyptian cultivated area will be reduced to about 0.949 million acres, equal to about 8.22% of the Egyptian cultivated area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, thus reducing crop area in Egypt to about 1.406 million acres, approximately to about 6.25% of crop area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, in addition to surplus in the Egyptian balance water to about 2.48 billion m3. In this case value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 6.19 billion dollars, equal to about 6.19% compared with presumably no sinking of the Delta land. In the case of sinking 15% of Delta lands, with the change of the productivity and water consumption of most crops, the result will be a reduction in the cultivated area to about 0.94 million acres. In addition to decreasing the Egyptian crop area to about 1.39 million acres, with a deficit in the Egyptian balance water to about 4.74 billion m3 compared to the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, the cultivated area will decrease to about 8.17%, and the crop area will decrease 6.18%. Also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 12.51%. While compared to sinking part of the Delta land to about 15% of the total Delta area without the other impacts of climate change, the cultivated area will increase by about 0.06%; the crop area will increase by about 0.08%; also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 5.57%.
Highlights
This phenomenon of climate change has become one of the issues, which has always been at the global level, in the light of the possible consequences of serious changes that threaten the future of the land
In the case of sinking 15% of Delta lands, with the change of the productivity and water consumption of most crops: the result will be a reduction in the cultivated area of about 0.94 million acres, and decrease the crop area by about 1.39 million acres, with deficit in the Egyptian balance water by about 4.74 billion m3
By assessment and analysis of the expected economic impacts of climate change by the year 2030, the cultivated area will be reduced to about 0.949 million acres, equal to about 8.22% of the total cultivated areas compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, and crop area will reduce about 1.406 million acres, equal to about 6.25% of the total crop areas in Egypt compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land in addition to surplus in the Egyptian balance water by about 2.48 billion m3
Summary
This phenomenon of climate change has become one of the issues, which has always been at the global level, in the light of the possible consequences of serious changes that threaten the future of the land. It was pointed out by one of the studies published by the International Organization (WMO) that the average global temperatures will rise about 4 ̊C by the year 2060, presumably resulting in the rapid rise to threaten the stability of the world through the disruption of supplies of food and water in many parts of the world, particular in the continent of Africa. The issue of climate change was not taken seriously in Egypt [4] [5]
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