Abstract
This paper presents a comprehensive system of 38 indicators, which allows identification of possible endogenous sources and evaluation of the potential of conflicts of interest arising both at the corporate (in models of ownership, business and financial activities, corporate governance and organizational structures) and operational (analyst) levels of credit rating agencies (CRAs). Testing of proposed system of indicators was carried out based on the content analysis of the public information on the activities of five authorized credit rating agencies of Ukraine. It is determined that at the beginning of 2017 the most sensitive to the risk of conflicts of interest were “Standard Rating” (74% of threat signals of the total number of indicators), “Expert Rating” (57%) and “Rurik” (37%). The highest potential of conflicts’ of interest escalation was identified in the models of financial activities (80% of threat signals of the total number of indicators of that group) and models of ownership of Ukrainian CRAs (63%). The estimations of the risk level are proposed to be regarded mainly as signals of the potentially high sensitivity of the particular CRA to the risk of conflicts’ of interest escalation. Such signals, in particular, can be used by the regulators for carrying out remote monitoring activities of CRAs, for adopting supervisory and regulatory decisions. In turn, managers and owners of rating agencies can conduct a more detailed analysis of the detected potential sources of conflict of interest with the aim of identification, localization, and elimination of shortcomings in the system of conflict of interest management.
Highlights
As international experience shows conflicts of interest in the activities of credit rating agencies may lead to a significant devaluation of the credit ratings’ quality due to rating shopping, manipulations and problems with disclosure
Previously held the position of chief accountant of Ostriv, consulting firm, which is working “...on the The highest potential of conflicts’ of interest escamarket of valuation services, securities, financial lation was identified in the models of financial acand legal services and the development of invest- tivities (80% of threat signals of the total number ment strategies, and provides, in particular, ... ser- of indicators of that group) and models of ownervices of registrar and securities trader” (Ostriv, 2017). ship of Ukrainian credit rating agencies (CRAs) (63%)
Overestimation and underestimation errors in the results of using the proposed system of indicators could potentially arise due to the fact that the research was of remote nature and based solely on the content analysis of public data, the volume of which in the Ukrainian reality, is significantly limited
Summary
As international experience shows conflicts of interest in the activities of credit rating agencies may lead to a significant devaluation of the credit ratings’ quality due to rating shopping, manipulations and problems with disclosure. The article aims, to design and empirically test on the example of Ukrainian CRAs a comprehensive system of indicators, which allows identification of possible endogenous sources and evaluation of the potential of conflicts of interest arising both at the corporate (agency) and operational (analyst) levels of functioning of CRAs. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows.
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