Abstract

In Sub-Saharan Africa, several smallholder communities continuously grapple with soil-based poverty as the coarse-textured soils on which they eke out a living have low water and nutrient retention capacities. The new sub-surface water retention technology (SWRT), is based on the subsurface installation of impermeable water‐retaining membranes of linear and low-density polyethylene, reduces the amount of water and nutrients lost through deep percolation especially on coarse-textured soils. In this study, we used stochastic simulations on the diffusion of sub-surface water retention technology (SWRT) on coarse-textured (sandy) soils in eight different Eastern and Southern African countries. Using results from previous research on SWRT we estimated increases in maize grain yields and biomass accumulation. Results from the least and most promising diffusion scenarios suggested that with ten years of widespread adoption of SWRT regional maize production could increase by 10 and 40 million tonnes per season. Carbon sequestration could reach 2 to 4 tonnes from the 7th year after implementation (YAI) and 2 to 12 tonnes for the 15 YAI for the best diffusion scenario as consequence of increased biomass production following SWRT adoption. While our results suggest synergistic reductions in the rate of water and nutrient loss from crop root zones, SWRT is characterized by high initial financial and labour investment costs without effective financial support would be prohibitive to uptake by the generally resource-limited smallholder farmers working on sandy soils. Moreover, as SWRT is new, there is a need for more dissemination efforts to increase awareness on the technologies amongst extension workers, decision-makers and agricultural investors that can promote and incentivize the adoption of this technology in areas were agricultural productivity is constrained by coarse-textured soils.

Highlights

  • Agricultural production in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is constrained by factors related to soil quality, some of which are attributable to highly permeable coarse-textured soils

  • It was shown that the volatility caused by different realizations with stochastic model resulted in marginal differences where adoptions with withdrawals could increase slowly (Figure 2B) and quicker (Figures 2C,D)

  • With the same propensity level the use of different adoption rates and initial states in the stochastic simulations resulted in significantly different pathways on the area with subsurface water retention technology (SWRT) membranes (Figure 3)

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Summary

Introduction

Agricultural production in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is constrained by factors related to soil quality, some of which are attributable to highly permeable coarse-textured soils. The soil organic carbon (SOC) content of these soils is generally low and rarely exceeds 10 g kg−1 (Hartemink and Huting, 2008; Singh et al, 2011). These soils are generally in regions that are characterized by arid and semi-arid climates, where rainfall is erratic. A combination of these factors explain why, despite the importance of irrigation under arid and semi-arid climatic conditions, only 4% of the cultivated area in Africa is equipped with irrigation infrastructure (Svendsen et al, 2009)

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