Abstract

Economists broadly agree on many key economic policy issues, but economics as a discipline has provided much less guidance on why and how economic policy reform occurs and how to develop institutional mechanisms that enable governments to adopt “good” economic policy. Political scientists are adept at identifying coalitions, constituencies, institutions, and interest groups, but they less commonly examine the implications for economic policy. Thus, work at the intersection between economics and politics—of why and how policy reform takes place—remains relatively unexplored territory. This is especially so in developing countries where political processes are more personalistic, institutions often less well established, outcomes more fluid, and the detailed case study literature on economic policy making still in its infancy. This paper provides an analytical survey of economic policy reform in Southeast Asia. It ranges across the major policy U-turns and the incremental reforms, with special reference to macroeconomic management and trade policy. On the basis of several case studies and set against the broader international literature, we advance nine conclusions on the political economy of reform.

Highlights

  • It may not seem obvious to non-economists, economists broadly agree on many key economic policy issues

  • Political scientists are adept at identifying coalitions, constituencies, institutions, and interest groups, but they less commonly examine the implications for economic policy

  • This paper offers an analytical survey of the evidence on economic policy reform in Southeast Asia

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Summary

Introduction

It may not seem obvious to non-economists, economists broadly agree on many key economic policy issues. There is no generally accepted template, much less a “rule book” for how to engineer successful policy reform. This is especially so in developing countries. The reform experience ranges across the major policy U-turns and incremental reforms, successes and failures, and the macroeconomy and the sectors, with both international and domestic factors playing a role. This diversity of the region, reflected in levels of development and in political and institutional structures, both cautions against generalization and adds to the richness of the subject matter.

Some Definitions
Drivers of Reform
Southeast Asian Case Studies
Trade Liberalization
Trade Liberalization II
Legislated Central Bank Independence and Fiscal Rules
Findings
Summing Up

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