Abstract

Most dark energy models have the varLambda CDM as their limit, and if future observations constrain our universe to be close to varLambda CDM Bayesian arguments about the evidence and the fine-tuning will have to be employed to discriminate between the models. Assuming a baseline varLambda CDM model we investigate a number of quintessence and phantom dark energy models, and we study how they would perform when compared to observational data, such as the expansion rate, the angular distance, and the growth rate measurements, from the upcoming Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey. We sample posterior likelihood surfaces of these dark energy models with Monte Carlo Markov Chains while using central values consistent with the Planck varLambda CDM universe and covariance matrices estimated with Fisher information matrix techniques. We find that for this setup the Bayes factor provides a substantial evidence in favor of the varLambda CDM model over most of the alternatives. We also investigated how well the CPL parametrization approximates various scalar field dark energy models, and identified the location for each dark energy model in the CPL parameter space.

Highlights

  • Several large scale structure surveys missions, such as e.g. Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope (WFIRST) and Euclid are scheduled to start operating within the decade

  • In this work we refer to a simulated DESI data and study how these models would perform when compared to the baseline ΛCDM model

  • The main question we ask is if the ΛCDM were the correct model of cosmology would we be able to unambiguously discard alternative models based on DESI data

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Summary

Introduction

Several large scale structure surveys missions, such as e.g. Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope (WFIRST) and Euclid are scheduled to start operating within the decade Upon completion of these missions, very accurate measurements of the expansion velocity, angular distance and growth rate in the universe to redshifts of z ∼ 2 will be obtained [17,18,19,20,21]. We limit ourselves by considering the flat scalar field dark energy (so called φCDM) models This is justified by the fact that large deviations from the spatial flatness of the universe seem to be well constrained by the CMB data [44].

Dark energy models
Model description
The phantom models
The definition of the starting points for the MCMC chains
Results
The Bayesian statistics
The φCDM potentials vs CPL parametrization
Conclusions
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