The number of valvular insufficiency is a strong predictor of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hemodialysis patients.

Abstract

To investigate the relationship between the number of valvular insufficiency (VI) and emergency hospitalization or mortality in maintenance hemodialysis (HD) patients. The maintenance HD patients with cardiac ultrasonography were included. According to the number of VI ≥ 2 or not, the patients were divided into two groups. The difference of emergency hospitalized for acute heart failure, arrhythmia, acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or stroke, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality between the two groups were compared. Among 217 maintenance HD patients, 81.57% had VI. 121 (55.76%) patients had two or more VI, and 96 (44.24%) with one VI or not. The study subjects were followed up for a median of 47 (3-107) months. At the end of the follow up, 95 patients died (43.78%), of whom 47 (21.66%) patients died because of cardiovascular disease. Age (HR 1.033, 95% CI 1.007-1.061, P = 0.013), number of VI ≥ 2 (HR 2.035, 95% CI 1.083-3.821, P = 0.027) and albumin (HR 0.935, 95% CI 0.881-0.992, P = 0.027) were independent risk factors for cardiovascular mortality. The three parameters were also independent risk factors for all-cause mortality. The patients with number of VI ≥ 2 were more likely to be emergency hospitalized for acute heart failure (56 [46.28%] vs 11 [11.46%], P = 0.001). On the contrary, the number of VI was not associated with emergency hospitalized for arrhythmia, ACS or stroke. Survival analysis results showed that probability of survival was statistically different in the two groups (P < 0.05), no matter based on cardiovascular mortality or all-cause mortality. Based on age, number of VI ≥ 2 and albumin, nomogram models for 5-year cardiovascular and all-cause mortality were built. In maintenance HD patients, the prevalence of VI is prominently high. The number of VI ≥ 2 is associated with emergency hospitalized for acute heart failure, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Combining age, number of VI ≥ 2, and albumin can predict cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.