The Nocturnal Positive Ionospheric Anomaly of Electron Density as a Short-Term Earthquake Precursor and the Possible Physical Mechanism of Its Formation

Abstract

This paper summarizes the years of studies devoted to the self-similarity of anomalies originating in the ionosphere above the regions of the preparation of strong earthquakes. Using statistical processing of data on electron density variations obtained by methods of vertical sounding and measurements of the total electronic content, we have formed a pattern of similar variations observed at midlatitudes before strong earthquakes; we call it a precursor mask for earthquakes. It was found that the positive anomaly in the ionosphere formed at nighttime after sunset and ended at sunrise. In the case of strong earthquakes, the anomaly can last 12 h and emerge within a few days at the same local time. We propose a physical mechanism of anomaly formation in the ionosphere bound with the diurnal dynamics of the atmospheric boundary layer, which regulates the height distribution of cluster ions.