Abstract

A virus’ mutational robustness is described in terms of the strength and distribution of the mutational fitness effects, or MFE. The distribution of MFE is central to many questions in evolutionary theory and is a key parameter in models of molecular evolution. Here we define the mutational fitness effects in influenza A virus by generating 128 viruses, each with a single nucleotide mutation. In contrast to mutational scanning approaches, this strategy allowed us to unambiguously assign fitness values to individual mutations. The presence of each desired mutation and the absence of additional mutations were verified by next generation sequencing of each stock. A mutation was considered lethal only after we failed to rescue virus in three independent transfections. We measured the fitness of each viable mutant relative to the wild type by quantitative RT-PCR following direct competition on A549 cells. We found that 31.6% of the mutations in the genome-wide dataset were lethal and that the lethal fraction did not differ appreciably between the HA- and NA-encoding segments and the rest of the genome. Of the viable mutants, the fitness mean and standard deviation were 0.80 and 0.22 in the genome-wide dataset and best modeled as a beta distribution. The fitness impact of mutation was marginally lower in the segments coding for HA and NA (0.88 ± 0.16) than in the other 6 segments (0.78 ± 0.24), and their respective beta distributions had slightly different shape parameters. The results for influenza A virus are remarkably similar to our own analysis of CirSeq-derived fitness values from poliovirus and previously published data from other small, single stranded DNA and RNA viruses. These data suggest that genome size, and not nucleic acid type or mode of replication, is the main determinant of viral mutational fitness effects.

Highlights

  • The predictable burden of seasonal influenza and the unpredictability of the pandemic are attributable in large part to the rapid evolution of influenza virus [1,2,3,4]

  • While high mutation rates may increase the rate at which influenza virus will adapt to a new host, acquire a new route of transmission, or escape from host immune surveillance, data from model

  • The mutational robustness of a virus will determine which mutations are maintained in a population and may have a greater impact on viral evolution than mutation rate

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Summary

Introduction

The predictable burden of seasonal influenza and the unpredictability of the pandemic are attributable in large part to the rapid evolution of influenza virus [1,2,3,4]. Like other RNA viruses, influenza viruses replicate with extremely low fidelity, with a mutation rate of roughly 2 x 10−5 substitutions per nucleotide copied per cellular infection [5,6,7]. Low replicative fidelity and frequent reassortment allow influenza virus populations to generate significant diversity. This capacity may allow influenza viruses to maintain, or to quickly generate, the requisite mutations that mediate cross species transmission, escape from neutralizing antibody, or drug resistance [10]. Most mutations have deleterious effects on fitness, which suggests that mutational tolerance may play a significant role in determining the genetic diversity that can be maintained within a population [13]. A virus’ intrinsic robustness may influence its fitness in vitro and virulence in vivo [18]

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