Abstract

Plasmodium falciparum malaria is a serious tropical disease that causes more than one million deaths each year, most of them in Africa. It is transmitted by a range of Anopheles mosquitoes and the risk of disease varies greatly across the continent. The "entomological inoculation rate" is the commonly-used measure of the intensity of malaria transmission, yet the methods used are currently not standardized, nor do they take the ecological, demographic, and socioeconomic differences across populations into account. To better understand the multiplicity of malaria transmission, this study examines the distribution of transmission intensity across sub-Saharan Africa, reviews the range of methods used, and explores ecological parameters in selected locations. It builds on an extensive geo-referenced database and uses geographical information systems to highlight transmission patterns, knowledge gaps, trends and changes in methodologies over time, and key differences between land use, population density, climate, and the main mosquito species. The aim is to improve the methods of measuring malaria transmission, to help develop the way forward so that we can better assess the impact of the large-scale intervention programmes, and rapid demographic and environmental change taking place across Africa.

Highlights

  • Malaria is the most common, serious mosquito-borne disease in the world [1], yet the tools and methods used to measure the intensity of its transmission are currently not standardized, nor do they take the ecological, demographic, and socioeconomic differences across populations into account [2,3,4,5,6,7]

  • Data were summarized by country, and differences in demography, topography and climate were explored by examining the relationship between annual P. falciparum (APf) entomological inoculation rate (EIR), and population density, elevation and climate suitability using the Gridded Population of the World Version 3 (GPWv3) [23,24], Global 2' Elevation Data, ETOPO2 [25] and Seasonal Climatological Suitability for Malaria Transmission [26] maps respectively; the latter map is based on the number of months during the year when climatological averages meet empirically-derived thresholds of precipitation, temperature and relative humidity, and provides more detailed information than the one developed by Craig et al [27]

  • This review shows the geographical distribution of APf EIR estimates across sub-Saharan Africa, the region at greatest malaria risk in the world [1], and highlights the vast gaps in knowledge on the transmission of this devastating disease

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Summary

Introduction

Malaria is the most common, serious mosquito-borne disease in the world [1], yet the tools and methods used to measure the intensity of its transmission are currently not standardized, nor do they take the ecological, demographic, and socioeconomic differences across populations into account [2,3,4,5,6,7]. This limits the potential for valid spatial-temporal comparisons, and for proper evaluations of the impact of interventions and environmental changes.

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