Abstract

The potential ranges of three near-water mammals included in the list of the 100 most dangerous invasive species of Russia (Сanadian beaver, Muskrat, American mink) were presented. Maps of suitable habitats of species were created by ensemble modeling of spatial distribution of species (eSDM) based on global species occurrence records in native and invasive range, bioclimatic variables characterizing the current climate. The efficiency of the construction of ensemble models as compared to individual models (iSDM) is evaluated. The results of analysis of consequences of invasions of near-water mammals are presented and the features of control of number and limitation of their distribution in the future on the territory of Russia are considered. The patterns of formation of the invasive part of the range of alien near-aquatic mammals are summarized and suitable regions for their future invasions are predicted.

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